Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 1241.375412 1405.439415 1585.986118 1799.896799 2047.039401 2324.333771 2660.033761
2025-11-23 991.836163 1211.707477 1475.414902 1817.081612 2251.045370 2787.825458 3508.202095
2025-11-30 861.867959 1107.209612 1418.833456 1847.837821 2429.567604 3200.221130 4313.958295
2025-12-07 742.748202 992.042529 1323.153818 1801.344983 2484.586583 3441.481683 4911.352654
2025-12-14 651.387212 898.814698 1240.032108 1753.294021 2520.352783 3647.840553 5475.383904
2025-12-21 576.012247 817.408442 1161.307005 1697.312361 2530.707276 3809.539938 5985.193263
2025-12-28 544.102362 793.794152 1161.159881 1754.445627 2714.471110 4253.558843 7005.810562
2026-01-04 509.260301 761.489662 1143.429296 1780.305032 2848.915513 4632.246471 7972.078736
2026-01-11 477.332148 730.032311 1122.948753 1797.828938 2969.171215 4999.195460 8971.836632
2026-01-18 448.665207 700.692242 1102.332338 1811.608393 3082.572454 5365.815456 10026.653147
2026-01-25 429.318822 684.362471 1100.771737 1856.603896 3254.760103 5858.778331 11406.981148
2026-02-01 407.340835 661.568364 1085.934710 1875.913741 3380.907151 6279.863791 12710.703282
2026-02-08 384.847728 636.794007 1066.773819 1887.821214 3499.385089 6712.154701 14141.667780
2026-02-15 365.330483 615.619302 1052.157315 1906.916635 3635.129709 7201.006205 15800.872889
2026-02-22 349.643636 599.722251 1045.240674 1939.334321 3800.770400 7775.209427 17773.538296
2026-03-01 324.285092 564.301481 999.350694 1890.236977 3790.294919 7964.055003 18841.488186
2026-03-08 301.158726 531.190956 954.975783 1839.498808 3769.696947 8126.228573 19872.887974
2026-03-15 279.121512 498.499432 908.775973 1780.399385 3723.537245 8222.319020 20749.058784
2026-03-22 272.907837 495.259402 919.209643 1840.714713 3952.866731 9008.313070 23694.688231
2026-03-29 263.370111 484.852213 914.542596 1868.019023 4109.259831 9639.404975 26346.251604
2026-04-05 253.566652 473.176918 906.309373 1886.523707 4246.932053 10244.449008 29066.346569
2026-04-12 244.043782 461.357362 896.787597 1901.075282 4376.714630 10849.506170 31938.038788
2026-04-19 238.222101 456.578583 901.491785 1948.597594 4595.278012 11731.845510 35949.147519